Friday, November 23, 2007

技術前瞻:預計週五盤面清淡

Editor's note: this column was originally published on Capital Essence's CEM News on November 22, 2007. It's being republished as a bonus for the loyal readers. For more information about subscribing to CEM News, please click here.
 
這是Capital Essence對2007年11月23日 (週五) 的市場技術分析。
正如我們之前在前瞻分析中預測的那樣:"空頭仍是默認的主動方", 週三美股開盤下跌,因為投資者不想帶著多頭倉位去過感恩節。當日,道指重跌211.10點,報收12,799.04點。標普500指數下跌22.93點,報收1,416.77點。
美國股市和債市將於美東時間2007年11月23日(週五)13:00點閉市。
spx_20071121
圖1.1:標普500指數
如前所料,該指數正在考驗8月低點附近的關鍵支撐位。短期阻力位約為1490-1500點。
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圖1.2:道瓊斯工業平均指數
週三道指收於8月收盤低點的下方,從而再次確認了對12500點關鍵支撐位的考驗。阻力位約為13350點。
總結:從技術面來看,經過週三的下滑,股市已經處於非常糟糕的狀態。儘管如此,由於大多數交易者會因長週末假日而暫離股市,週五的交易狀況將相對"清淡"。因此我們並不期望在本週最後一天縮短的交易日裡會有什麼驚人的事情發生。週五將是另一個無關緊要的假日交 6131;日。
 
(本文作者:Michelle Mai)

﹕Michelle Mai為Capital Essence(錢途集團)撰寫技術分析﹐並為包括市場趨勢在內的數份金融市場投資通訊的首席市場策略師。如欲每日盤前收到更多最新分析, 敬請訂閱
 

Another meaningless session?

Editor's note: this column was originally published on Capital Essence's CEM News on November 22, 2007. It's being republished as a bonus for the loyal readers. For more information about subscribing to CEM News, please click here.
 
Good Morning. This is Capital Essence's "Market Outlook" (the technical analysis of financial markets) for Friday November 23, 2007.
As we've predicted right here in the previous market outlook that: "the bears still have the benefit of the doubts", stocks stumbled out of gate Wednesday as investor refused to hold long positions going into the Thanksgiving holiday. For the day, the Dow lost -211.10 pints to finish at 12,799.04. The S&P dropped -22.93 point to close at 1,416.77.
In observance of the Thanksgiving holiday, US stock and bond markets will be closed at 13:00 ET on Friday November 23, 2007.
spx_20071121
Chart 1.1: Standard & Poors 500 Index.
As expected, the board market index is on its way to test key support around the area of August's low. Short-term resistant is about 1490-1500.
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Chart 1.2: Dow Jones Industrial.
The blue-chips index closed below August's closing low on Wednesday and hence reconfirmed a test of key support at the 12500 level. Resistant is about 13350.
In summary: technically speaking, the market is in a very bad shape after Wednesday's decline. Though trading action will be relative "dry" Friday as a majority of market participants are away for the long weekend holiday. And we're, therefore, not expecting any interesting "stuffs" to happen during the last shortened session of the week. It could be just another meaningless holiday trading session.
 
(By: Michelle Mai for Capital Essence)

Note: Michelle Mai writes technical analysis for Capital Essence and is the editor of Capital Essence's "Market Outlook" newsletter. To receive the daily edition, please subscribe. It's now available at a monthly rate.